Jet Stream Forecast

Decreasing solar activity means colder winters for the UK

The declining solar activity currently being observed will increase the likelihood of colder winters in Europe by 15%, say researchers in the UK .

The climate of the British Isles and continental Europe is heavily influenced by the north Atlantic jet stream. While solar activity has very little influence on the global climate, it can affect the North Atlantic jet stream and therefore the regional climate in Europe.

“Our region is particularly sensitive to solar activity, especially in winter,” Mike Lockwood from the University of Reading, UK, told . While the effect is small when compared with the effect of anthropogenic climate change, it is still significant enough to cause an increase in the likelihood of colder winters, providing all other factors remain the same. There is a 10% chance that in the next 40 years the sun will return to a state last seen during the Maunder minimum of solar activity (1650–1700), which could make cold winters up to five times more likely. Considering all possibilities for how the sun will evolve, the overall likelihood of colder winters in the UK is set to rise by 15%.”

But Lockwood stresses that recent press reports that we are heading for a “little ice age” are completely inconsistent with his research because temperatures in summer are likely to remain the same or possibly even increase. “Even for winters, the effect of solar activity on the north Atlantic jet stream will essentially be to re-distribute temperatures in Northern Europe,” said Lockwood. “For example, our previous research has shown that the likelihood of warmer winters in Greenland will increase while the likelihood of colder winters in the UK will increase.”

Lockwood and his colleagues were able to carry out their research because of the Central England Temperature (CET) data series – the world’s longest instrumental temperature record. This extends back to 1659, around the beginning of the last Maunder minimum in solar activity. They combined this data with data on cosmogenic isotopes – isotopes of carbon and beryllium that are created on earth by galactic cosmic rays and stored in terrestrial reservoirs such as tree trunks and ice sheets.

“Many researchers believe solar activity effects just get lost in the noise of climate variability but, by combining temperature data with isotope data, we have found that there is some, if limited, forecast ability in the effect of solar activity on climate in the UK,” said Lockwood.

radiation and jetstream forecast – Canada and USA – March 16, 2011 ...

Now have TWO websites to monitor radiation for the UNITED STATES here: www.radiationnetwork.com and for the ONLY station that can be discovered for CANADA http this canada radiation station .. the ONLY One I COULD Locate is situated — northwest of British Columbia — excellent to see the prevailing winds curling back up your way.. DO NOT REFRESH THE HECK OUT OF THIS Web site, and guard it closely.. do not give it out via mass message.. don’t want to overload the servers like the USA website did yesterday. considerably adore here are all the links for jet stream information: squall.sfsu.edu www.wunderground.com www.weather.com www.srh.noaa.gov FAIR USE NOTICE: These Videos may possibly contain copyrighted (© ) material the use of which has not always been particularly authorized by the copyright owner. Such material is made available to advance understanding of ecological, political, human rights, economic, democracy, scientific, moral, ethical, and social justice problems, etc. It is believed that this constitutes a ‘fair use’ of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law. In accordance with Title 17 USC Section 107, this material is distributed with out profit to those who have expressed a prior general interest in receiving similar info for study and educational purposes. For more info go to: www.law.cornell.edu

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